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NQ long by Ivy Caldwell

@ivyrisk

NQ long · NQ Breakout Model · Oct 9, 2026

−$640.00−1.0R

Full 1R loss. Long 21,499.25 on the break, never got more than a few points of room, stopped at 21,467.50. Two days of overlapping value should have told me it was a range day. Valid entry, wrong day. Same size tomorrow.

Broker-verified, simulated or prop account30 likes · 4 comments

Keep a journal like @ivyrisk: fills sync from your broker and every trade gets its numbers.

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Comments

  • Mara Vasquez · Oct 9, 2026

    Good post. Range days look obvious at 2pm, not at 9:45.

  • Kai Mercer · Oct 9, 2026

    I skip breakouts when the last two sessions' value areas overlap by more than about 70%. Not perfect, filters a lot of these.

  • Ivy Caldwell · Oct 9, 2026

    Going to backtest that this weekend. Thanks.

  • Demo Trader · Oct 9, 2026

    Saving that rule. Two of my last few breakout stops were on exactly those overlapping days.

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